Container xChange said that the shortage of container equipment that has lasted for several months is expected to end because the container availability index (CAx) is undergoing positive changes.
According to Container xChange analysis, the Chinese New Year may become a turning point , with the 20-foot and 40-foot dry cargo index increasing to 0.34 and 0.37 respectively, indicating that the availability of empty containers is much higher than last month. CAx data comes from millions of containers tracked by Container xChange. Container xChange CEO Johannes Schlingmeier said: “An index of 0.5 indicates market balance, and a value below 0.5 indicates a shortage of containers.” Container xChange pointed out that although the latest data in January was well below 0.5, indicating that there is still a shortage of container equipment, but 20 feet and The 40-foot container data has begun to approach the normal container shortage level in China's main export markets.
David Amezquita, the company's director of data, said:
Compared with December 2020, the availability of 20-foot containers in January 2021 has increased by 37.5%, and the availability of 40-foot containers has increased by 200%, which is a positive trend.
Data from xChange shows that in the past few months, there has been an extreme shortage of containers across China. In Shanghai, which has always been in short supply, the index reached a record low in December 2020, of which the 40-foot container availability index was only 0.13. The company said that as China's container manufacturing plants are running at full capacity to expand production capacity, coupled with the shipping company's efforts to transport empty containers back to China, the Chinese New Year may become an important turning point.
With the substantial increase in container supply, Shanghai Port's container availability index is returning to normal levels. Other ports in China are also undergoing positive changes. Taking Qingdao Port as an example, the availability index of a 20-foot container even reached 0.5. The container availability index of other major Asian hub ports such as Singapore Port, Navassiwa Port and Port Klang also showed the same trend. Compared with December 2020, the availability index of standard containers at the Port of Singapore in January 2021 has increased by 58%, Port Nawahiwa has increased by 35%, and Port Klang has increased by 54%.
There are signs that the container availability index will remain stable in the coming weeks. Until mid-February, the availability of 20-foot boxes will stabilize at around 0.35, and the availability of 40-foot boxes will stabilize at around 0.38.
In the past two months, the cost of transporting goods from China to Europe has more than quadrupled, hitting a record high, due to the pandemic disrupting global trade and the shortage of empty containers.
Data from shippers and importers show that the freight for transporting a 40-foot container from Asia to Northern Europe has risen from approximately US$2,000 in November last year to more than US$9,000.
Lars Jensen, CEO of maritime consulting company SeaIntelligence, said that the reason for the increase in freight rates is the market's competition for limited resources-containers.
In the first half of 2020, due to a sudden slowdown in global trade due to the epidemic blockade, shipping companies have suspended large-scale shipping and thousands of empty containers are stranded in Europe and the United States. In the second half of the year, when Western countries' demand for Asian-made goods rebounded, competition among shippers for available containers pushed up freight rates.
John Butler, Chairman of the World Shipping Council, said, "The freight volume has dropped from a sharp decline to soaring to the highest level in history, and the effective handling capacity of the terminal has exceeded the upper limit."
He added that the congestion in the port has caused freight rates to rise, and shipping companies charge additional fees to compensate for the longer waiting time.
British freight forwarding company Edge Worldwide CEO Philip Edge said that some shipping companies charge US$12,000 per container, much higher than the US$2,000 in October last year.
The British Household Electrical Appliance Manufacturers Association stated in a statement, “According to member companies’ disclosures, shipping costs have increased by more than 300% since 2020. Especially for some commodities, the increase in shipping costs has exceeded the net increase Profit. Therefore, these costs will have to be passed on to the end user."
The owner of a leisure goods importer in Manchester said that the shortage of containers is having a “huge impact” on his business, and some orders placed in November are still waiting to be shipped. "The question is, is it to pay $12,000 now and pass the cost on to the customer, or to wait at the risk of exhausting inventory?"
Economists say that such interruptions and delays are beginning to affect global supply chains. Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics, said that "transportation pressure is accumulating and may increase further."
A recent survey by IHS Markit found that in December last year, the delivery time of manufacturing suppliers in the Eurozone reached the worst level since the peak of the pandemic lockdown in April. Shipping delays and general commodity shortages were "widely mentioned" by suppliers. .
The companies surveyed stated that they are consuming inventory of raw materials and semi-finished products, resulting in a decline in inventory.
Bert Colijn, senior economist at ING, said that "supply shortages and rising freight rates may slightly curb trade growth."
On the occasion of the Chinese New Year in February, the Asian manufacturing industry slowed down. Shipping companies hope to use this time to solve the problem of increasing backlog orders, which will temporarily cool freight rates.
However, BIMCO chief shipping analyst Peter Sand said that the shortage of containers may continue for a long time in 2021. Although the shipping company has ordered new containers, in his opinion, such a move is "too small and too late."
Lars Jensen also believes that although freight rates may drop slightly, "there are still a lot of goods waiting to be transported."
John Butler pointed out that only when epidemic-related restrictions are reduced and people have more diverse service choices, the pressure on the maritime supply chain can be alleviated, but no one can say when it can be improved.
The air cargo market has ushered in a new year, but there is no sign of cooling. International transportation activities usually weaken after the holiday season, but due to the unusual air transportation mode and the severe shortage of air transportation caused by the new coronavirus pandemic, demand and freight rates remain high.
The logistics company expects that the air cargo volume will not decline before the Spring Festival, because the manufacturer plans to continue operations during the traditional holidays.
The latest comprehensive statistics of World ACD and CLIVE Data Services in December show that compared with 2019, air cargo volume has fallen by only 3.7% to 5% respectively. These data show that the air cargo industry has recovered a lot since it bottomed out in May last year, when demand dropped by nearly 40%.
The demand for air transportation is largely driven by continuous inventory replenishment, the inventory-to-sales ratio of consumer goods is close to the lowest level in history, and a saturated marine container market. Analysts and logistics providers said that the congestion of ports and railways and the shortage of empty containers continue to push up shipping prices and cause serious delays, especially for main routes from Asia, which promotes a further increase in aviation demand.
The goods sought for air transportation include automotive equipment, consumer goods purchased online, and medical supplies related to COVID-19. Airplanes are also used to transport the new crown vaccine, because a large number of vaccines are transported by land, and sometimes only a few containers are needed for each flight, so it is not clear how many ordinary goods they replace. Nevertheless, when the capacity is tight, the vaccine will be given priority to board the plane.
San Francisco-based freight forwarding company Flexport said in a customer advisory update report that the remaining demand for game consoles and smartphone product releases in the fourth quarter will increase capacity constraints by mid-February.
Bruce Chan, vice president of global logistics at investment bank Stifel, said in a monthly comment that shippers are also more inclined to use air operations as an inventory buffer because their forecasting models have been completely overturned by the epidemic. He wrote: “Predicting consumption patterns and when they will stabilize is a huge fear, and the path forward is hardly linear, especially when the new coronavirus reignites and the government further implements blockades and border closures.”
In addition, many Chinese manufacturers announced that they will continue production during the Lunar New Year period from February 12 to 26. Factories are usually closed for 10 days or longer so that workers can celebrate with their families, but because the Chinese government encourages workers to celebrate the New Year on the spot, many factories will continue to operate this year. Flexport said this could create a backlog, as many freighter flights were cancelled a few weeks ago due to the expected full transport. Any backlog will depend on whether the factory continues to produce or take vacations at home.
The demand for air freight is so strong that experts predict that by the end of March the market will return to the level before the epidemic. This trend is in sharp contrast to the passenger traffic of the aviation industry, which is expected to remain sluggish until vaccination becomes more common in the second half of the year. Even then, the recovery of international travel may be slower, which means fewer aircraft for long-distance trade. Aviation industry officials said they don’t expect a full recovery until 2024.
Globally, freight rates are more than twice what they were a year ago, and freight rates from China to Europe and the United States are 2.5 times what they were a year ago. According to data from digital sales platforms, market information services and freight forwarders, the aircraft on these routes are full.
According to World ACD data, the average freight rate soared by 80% in December last year, from US$1.80 per kilogram to US$3.27 per kilogram, the highest year-on-year increase since May last year, but it fell by 10% since January this year.
Freight rates are under tremendous pressure, because although more all-cargo operators have added freighters and flights, global capacity is still about 20% lower than 2019 levels. The main culprit is the insufficient supply of wide-body passenger aircraft on international routes, most of which are still grounded due to the poor travel market. In fact, with the strict implementation of travel restrictions, airlines will reduce flights in the first quarter. For example, Air Canada and WestJet suspended 25% and 30% of their system capacity in the first quarter.
According to data from the International Civil Aviation Organization, the global all-cargo fleet increased by 22.4% to 673 aircraft in 2020. Airlines continue to increase capacity, including improved aircraft from passenger airlines, but this is not enough, because the space shortage is three to four times the decline in demand, and the gap may be even greater in the short term.
In the past month, Qatar Airways has added three Boeing 777 freighters to its fleet, and China Airlines and AirBridgeCargo have each added a factory-built aircraft. Swiss International Air Lines has added Seoul, South Korea and Lima, Peru to its cargo network. The flight from Zurich will be operated by a 777-300 extended-range passenger aircraft dedicated to cargo. The flight from Zurich will be operated by a 777-300 extended-range passenger aircraft dedicated to cargo.
In the past year, many freight forwarders have greatly increased the use of dedicated charter flights to ensure that they can provide transport capacity to their customers. German logistics giant DB Schenker significantly expanded its private aviation network last week. Now it has two routes, connecting Europe, Asia and North America for the first time. The cargo management company controls a total of 43 Boeing 747 or 777 freighter flights every week-equivalent to the space of a 135 wide-body airliner. Munich Airport is the hub for DB Schenker's intercontinental cargo between the United States and Asia.
In 2020, the new crown pneumonia virus has swept the world, and people are shrouded in the haze of the epidemic. However, with the advent of the New Year, the epidemic has not eased, but has worsened in many countries. It can be seen that the global anti-epidemic situation is extremely severe.
Current situation in China
The most severely affected area in China is Hebei Province. As of 24:00 on January 11, 2021, Shijiazhuang and Xingtai have screened a total of 364 positive cases.
Regarding the epidemic in Shijiazhuang, Zhang Wenhong, a well-known Chinese expert, said about the epidemic in Shijiazhuang: The recent epidemic in Shijiazhuang has obvious clustering characteristics, and it can be controlled within a few weeks or a month before it reaches the stage of dispersion. We are confident about this.
With the approach of China's most important Spring Festival, many people worry that the epidemic will affect Chinese suppliers. Will it have an impact?
Industry insiders indicated that unless we see other major epidemics in mainland China, we can expect most factories to produce normally. It must also be mentioned that the Chinese government has introduced a series of measures to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
• Epidemic prevention measure 1: vaccination
According to reports, as more and more new crown vaccines around the world are approved, experts predict that the new crown epidemic will improve or be brought under control. The good news is that China's State Food and Drug Administration has approved three new coronavirus inactivated vaccines for the market, which will mean that domestic large-scale vaccination may begin quickly.
According to the national plan, the new crown vaccination plan will be divided into two steps. The first step is to vaccinate key populations, including: staff engaged in import cold chain, port quarantine, ship piloting, aviation air service, fresh food market, public transportation, medical disease control and other high risk of infection, and going to medium and high risk countries or regions People who go to work and study.
The second step is to achieve gradual universal vaccination. Based on the vaccination of high-risk groups and key groups that has been carried out and is being carried out, my country will gradually and orderly promote the vaccination of the elderly and high-risk groups with underlying diseases, and follow-up vaccination for the general population.
There may be differences in the specific plans for appointment vaccination between provinces. For example, according to the Weibo news of “Sichuan Release”, the first vaccination of key populations is expected to be completed before January 15 and all doses will be completed before February 5. Times of vaccination.
In this regard, you can explain to the customer like this:
China has begun a nationwide drive to vaccinate some 50 million front-line workers against the coronavirus before the Lunar New Year travel rush next month.
Before the peak of the Spring Festival travel season next month, China has begun to promote the anti-coronavirus vaccine for nearly 50 million priority people nationwide .
China has officially started vaccination to high-risk population since December 15, 2020, and the Chinese authorities said it has administered 9 million doses around the country, proving that the Chinese vaccines are safe. It is expected that China is highly likely to ensure a domestic vaccines capacity of more than 2 billion doses in 2021 to meet the target of at least 70 percent of Chinese get vaccinated to achieve herd immunity.
Since December 15, 2020, China has officially begun to vaccinate high-risk groups. Chinese authorities have stated that 9 million doses of vaccine have been vaccinated nationwide and these vaccines are safe. In addition, China is likely to ensure that its domestic vaccination capacity exceeds 2 billion doses in 2021, so that at least 70% of Chinese people will be vaccinated to achieve the goal of herd immunity.
In addition to vaccines, the Chinese government this year also encouraged migrant workers to "unnecessarily not return to their hometowns and celebrate the New Year on the spot."
• Epidemic prevention measures 2: Call for the New Year on the spot
As the Chinese New Year (February 12 this year) is approaching, many people who work abroad are ready to return to their hometown for the holiday. Zhu Wenzhong, deputy director of the passenger transportation department of China National Railway Group, said that during the "Spring Festival" period from January 28 to March 8 this year, 407 million trips are expected, which will be 93% higher than last year (because of the outbreak in Wuhan last year) Interrupt).
In addition, due to the fact that the local epidemic situation in my country is spreading at multiple points and local clusters are intertwined and superimposed. The State Council's Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism Comprehensive Team recently issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in the Prevention and Control of the New Coronary Pneumonia Epidemic During the New Year's Day and Spring Festival of 2021", pointing out that migrant workers should be guided to stay at the construction site for the New Year when conditions permit. Beijing, Shanghai, Anhui, Henan, Shandong and many other places have recently issued recommendations not to return to their hometown if they are not necessary during the Spring Festival, encourage flexible vacations, and advocate non-necessary not to leave their work place and celebrate the holidays locally.
At present, many local governments have issued notices calling on people to stay at work to prevent the spread of the virus, and the China National Railway Corporation announced that any train tickets booked before January 7, 2021 can be refunded.
In this regard, you can explain to the customer like this:
China's cabinet has also urged employers to be flexible about this year's Lunar New Year break. "In a bid to prevent transmission and control the pandemic, we encourage companies and enterprises to make flexible arrangements for the holiday and guide employees to spend the vacation in the area where they work," the State Council said in a notice recently.
The State Council of China also recently issued a notice stating that it encourages business owners to implement flexible vacations, and advocates not leaving their work place if necessary and spending holidays on the spot.
Many local governments have issued notices this week calling on people to stay home to prevent the spread of the virus, prompting China State Railway to announce that any train tickets booked before Jan.7th could be refunded.
Many local governments have issued notices this week calling on people to stay at home to prevent the spread of the virus, prompting the China National Railway Corporation to announce that any train tickets booked before January 7 can be refunded.
So, in addition to telling customers the latest information about the epidemic in China and related measures, what do foreigners need to do? That is: take advantage of the situation to remind orders.
•Use the opportunity to remind orders
According to a report by Global.com, due to the approaching Chinese New Year, companies from various European countries have recently imported Chinese goods on a large scale. They said: When the Chinese have a rest for the Spring Festival, we will not be able to buy anything even if we have money! It is worth mentioning that most of the sudden increase in orders are medical items related to epidemic prevention.
In addition, the German weekly "Der Spiegel" recently reported that as the Chinese New Year is approaching, European traders are beginning to worry about the suspension of production in Chinese factories, the bottleneck in logistics, and the continued increase in prices, and they are speeding up the booking of Chinese defense products.
Faced with such a situation, the People's Congress of Foreign Trade can take advantage of this situation to urge orders. Generally speaking, before the Spring Festival, we will send notices to our customers to inform them of the time when the factory will stop production and the time to start work after the year, so that customers can be prepared. However, this year’s situation is special. Due to the impact of the epidemic, the delivery time is longer than before, so we can advise customers to arrange their orders in advance.
In this regard, we can say this:
The delivery date might be longer, so we suggest you placing order at an earlier date, then we can occupy the production line for you and deliver goods at an earlier time. In addition, you can grab the market share earlier. Now we are still receiving orders every day, if you have pending orders, please hurry up.
Due to the impact of the epidemic, the delivery time is longer than before, so it is recommended that you place an order in advance. So we can help you arrange production as soon as possible and deliver as soon as possible. After you receive the goods as soon as possible, you can occupy the market share in advance. In addition, many customers are placing orders now, so if you have a demand, please place an order as soon as possible.
Mozambique is a country in southern Africa. At present, there is no direct flight between China and Mozambique, and Chinese citizens can transfer to Mozambique via South Africa, Ethiopia, Kenya and qatar. The Bole International Airport air traffic hub in Africa, many African countries went to other passengers in transit.
Ten city of Mozambique, Nampula, Maputo, Bella, Peng Ba Whelan, Kulusi Tete, Inhambane, Chris Mane, etc., Chimoio Lichinga airport. Which Maputo is the capital of Mozambique, located at the southern tip of Mozambique, near the India Yanmar Maputo Bay, is not political, economic and cultural center, the country's largest city. Maputo port is one of the major ports in East africa.
Maputo International Airport (IATA Code: MPM; ICAO Code: FQMA) is a civil airport 3 kilometers northwest of Mozambique, capital of the Republic of Maputo. Main international, regional and international demand of passenger and freight transport business, many waypoints to the main city of African countries and region, and the Portuguese airline to fly to Lisbon flights, Qatar Airlines operating flights to Doha.
Chinese cargo flights to Mozambique Maputo many, Qatar Airways, Ethiopia airlines, Turkey airlines, South African Airways have flights to Guangzhou, Hongkong, Shanghai, from the start, Beijing, aged 5-7 days. Hongkong to Maputo air freight about RMB40/1000KG+, the volume of goods is not recommended to go, suitable for the value of high, aging requirements of high goods.
Cargo price usually by air freight, fuel surcharge, war of three parts, logistics Baba cargo price is mainly composed of air freight charges, documentation fees, operating fees, manifest pre recorded fees, fuel surcharges. Customers can also add custom declaration, insurance and other value-added activities according to their requirements.
Air freight forwarding is the general freight forwarding to the airport, the customer needs to go to the airport, their own customs clearance and delivery, if the need for customs clearance, the cost is relatively high.
Exports to Mozambique ordinary no special requirements, but the foreign customs tax is serious. The raw material tariff is 2.5%, the fixed assets (class K), the tariff 5%, the tariff for the assembled goods is 7.5%, and the consumer goods is 20%. Customs clearance requirements, packing list, invoice, bill of lading, PSI inspection, certificate of origin, etc.. The government has stopped exporting pornographic and pornographic books and periodicals, film and television, posing as commodities, pirated goods and goods of false origin.
Search air network Maputo air transport, low-cost transit, can receive general cargo, bulk cargo, wooden boxes need to be hit. Airline one to one follow-up, cargo tracking, higher security. From China's air transport export to Mozambique, according to customer requirements, layout, door-to-door, and delivery of the destination.
After the freight rate in the trans-Pacific market has remained stable for a period of time, it has recently started a rising mode.
According to the Freightos Baltic Daily Index (Freightos Baltic Daily Index), on December 28, 2020, the freight rate of the Asia-US West Coast route reached US$4,189/FEU, a record high, an increase of 8% from December 25, which is the year of 2019. 3 times over the same period.
At the same time, the freight rate of the Asia-US East Coast route also reached an astonishing US$5397/FEU, a 9% increase from December 25 and twice the rate of the same period in 2019.
According to data from the Shanghai Shipping Exchange, on December 25, 2020, the freight rates (sea freight and ocean freight surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the basic port markets of the West and the East of the United States were 4,080 USD/FEU and 4,876 USD/FEU, respectively. The US West route rose 4.6% from the previous week.
Analysts of the Shanghai Shipping Exchange said that the average space utilization rate of ships on the Shanghai Port to the West and East U.S. routes maintained at a level close to full load. However, the U.S. epidemic has blocked the turnover of containers, and a large number of containers are stranded at the local terminal. The congestion of the port is increasing, and the shortage of containers has not been alleviated.
In addition, a number of shipping companies including CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, Evergreen Shipping, HMM, ONE, Yangming Shipping, and Star Shipping have announced that they will start on the trans-Pacific route from January 1, 2021. , Charge a comprehensive rate increase surcharge (GRI) ranging from US$1,000 to US$1,200/FEU.
The market predicts that the upward trend of freight rates will continue until January 2021.
In contrast to the fast-growing transportation demand, after a fully loaded ship arrived at the US West Port, it faced the dilemma of nowhere to stop.
According to a report released by the Marine Exchange of Southern California on December 28, 2020, a total of 24 container ships are anchored in San Pedro Bay, and another 5 ships are about to arrive.
According to the report, the local conventional anchorages are full of ships, and some emergency anchorages have also been occupied.
Marine Traffic uses an automatic identification system to draw a map that shows the extent of the accumulation of container ships in San Pedro Bay, which has deteriorated in recent weeks.
According to statistics, 26 additional ships called at the Port of Los Angeles in November and 31 ships in December. A port manager said that it is expected that in January 2021, more additional ships will call.
The loading and unloading capacity of the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach has already faced serious shortages. The Port of Los Angeles will import 116,500 TEU containers this week, and it is expected to increase significantly to 150,000 TEU per week by January 2021.
The continuous increase in freight rates and the severe congestion at the US West Port have caused shippers’ costs to hit unprecedented highs, and shippers have to reassess their transportation cost budgets for 2021.
According to the news on December 29, it is reported that due to bad weather, coupled with the epidemic and holiday packages, there has been a surge in packages. According to statistics, about 6 million packages are piled up in warehouses in the United States every day . Data in the third week of December showed that UPS's on-time delivery rate has dropped from 93% to around 86% .
Pei Jiahua, president of FedEx Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa, said in a statement that the epidemic has disrupted the supply chain and production lines, and has had an impact on reliability delivery, but this peak freight season will be one of the busiest seasons in history.
It is reported that recently, many express companies such as Amazon and UPS in the United States have announced the suspension of aging guarantees and price increases.
Foreign media reported that retailers said that due to the squeeze of demand, FedEx FedEx is restricting the number of retailers' delivery, and retailers are now restricted from sending 75 packages a day .
According to the CEP-Research website, FedEx will increase most of the U.S. express and ground freight charges by 4.9% from January 4, 2021 ; in addition, from December 27 this year, United Parcel will charge for the use of its ground in the United States. Non-contractual customers for aviation and international services charge an average of 4.9% more.
It is understood that the U.S. Postal Service is also considering increasing the price of transportation services after obtaining approval from relevant price management agencies. According to the plan, the U.S. Postal Service will increase the prices of various transportation services by 1.2%-20% from January 24, 2021 . Among them, priority mail will increase prices by 3.5%, and priority mail express will increase prices by 1.2%.
The shipping industry in 2020 can be said to be half winter and half summer.
Affected by the epidemic, China's exports declined in the first half of the year, and the shipping industry was cold and "overwintering" ahead of schedule. In the second half of the year, the neglected shipping industry directly entered the "midsummer." As the epidemic situation in China stabilizes and the economy recovers steadily, goods from all countries are transferred from Chinese ports. For a time, China's shipping industry is showing a busy scene.
“It’s too difficult to order containers now!” A reporter from the Securities Daily could see vehicles transporting containers coming and going at the Shanghai port. A foreign trade official who did not want to be named told the reporter: “At present, I want to order a container. The price can be said to be one price per day. Not only that, even if the container is booked, I still have to worry about the availability of the cabin."
"Shanghai SIPG, Ningbo, and Shenzhen are all major ports in the world. In 2018 and 2019, the container throughput of Shanghai Port was ranked first. Recently, the container shipping market is very hot, and many boxes cannot be returned after they go out." People from listed companies commented on the reporter of "Securities Daily".
In this regard, Liu Wang, chairman of Shanghai Tianhui International Logistics Co., Ltd., told reporters: “The price of container transportation has been rising. Because shipping companies have fewer ships, they often suspend voyages, and the lack of boxes is common, even if the price increases. It cannot fundamentally solve the problem of missing boxes."
• One price a day, "boxes" are crazy
"The most exaggerated time in the past 10 years." Speaking of the current shipping industry, Ms. Xie, who is engaged in the foreign trade industry, told a reporter from the Securities Daily. Ms. Xie is mainly responsible for the freight of Guangzhou Nansha Port and Shenzhen Port. She told reporters that taking a 40-foot container as an example, the highest sea freight to the Middle East at this time last year was about US$3,000. It costs almost US$5,000 now. Last year, it was US$2,800 to US$3,200 to Europe, and now it is US$6,000 to US$7,000. This year, the freight is almost twice the same period last year.
By the end of the year, the lack of positions became a true portrayal of the operation industry.
“Nowadays, there is a shortage of containers and high freight rates. The supply exceeds demand. During the epidemic, there was a large backlog of foreign containers that could not be arranged for delivery, and no one carried the goods. Almost all customers were looting containers. Under current market conditions, there are few freight forwarders. When looking for new customers, they are basically priority old customers.” Ms. Xie told reporters that the new year is approaching, and major suppliers are fully shipping. It is expected that the shortage of containers will continue.
"First of all you have to have a position, then you have to line up the truck to get the container, and finally you have to wait for the port to open before you can enter the port. Every day, you have to go through five hurdles, and you have to face customer soul torture. It's late, can't you figure it out?" A shipping forwarder complained about the tightness of the current export containers.
Liu Wang revealed to the "Securities Daily" reporter: "Many forwarders who have no boxes sometimes look for scalpers. Now forwarders are looting positions. The positions have to be booked in advance. Many people robbed and reselled them. In the past, they did not lose their shipping fees. Now that the shipping companies are recovering their losses, the shipping companies are about to usher in a wave of market conditions this year. After the merger and reorganization last year, it is estimated that all the money lost in the past will be made back this year."
Liu Wang said: “In the past Christmas and the Spring Festival, there will be a wave of liquidation market, this year is particularly fierce because of the epidemic. South American container boxes were the lowest in history at 50 US dollars a small container, and now basically it costs more than 5,000 US dollars, and a large box 10,000. U.S. dollars, if $5,000 this week is too expensive for you, you may not be able to order $6,000 next week, basically one price a week."
In fact, the current container price has been upgraded to a daily basis. A person in charge of an international logistics company said: “In Qingdao Port, the price of a second-hand 40-foot container in previous years was about US$2,000. On November 27 this year, the price rose to US$2,850; by November 30, the price of a second-hand container rose to US$3,200. ; On December 3, it rose to 3,400 US dollars again, almost one day."
According to data from the freight benchmark company Xeneta, the current average price of short-term market contracts in Asia and Europe for three months or less is 200% higher than a year ago, at $4,831 per 40 feet. But from the same period last year, freight rates across Southeast Asia have increased by an astonishing 390.5%.
The relevant person in charge of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings told reporters: “As the volume of goods continues to rise, the demand for export containers has greatly increased, and the domestic guarantee for container use has become tighter. However, the turnover of overseas empty containers has generally slowed due to the continuous impact of the epidemic situation in various places. Transfer back to China to meet demand."
"The whole industry is looking for boxes everywhere, and some merchants are beginning to hoard boxes to speculate on prices." In the eyes of industry insiders, the current situation of foreign trade companies being difficult to find a box is not only because of the slow operation of containers, but also because of the reduction of some routes. .
"There are few ship lines, and most of the cabinets shipped abroad can't return. This is the root cause of the skyrocketing price of the domestic container transportation market." Liu Wang explained to the reporter: "It's not that foreign cabinets are not coming back. It is the epidemic situation abroad. The impact is that the workers do not go to work and the speed of transportation is relatively slow. Now everyone is sharing the warehouse."
According to Liu Wang, the container ships now and the alliance has been formed since last year. Originally, it used its own ships to transport the goods. Now four or five shipowners or five or six companies form an alliance, and use the same ship. warehouse. "It turns out that there may be several shipping companies arranging several shifts to go to sea in a week. Once we formed an alliance, the shifts decreased in a week. This started last year. Now shipping companies often stop once a week, which objectively leads to a shortage of ships. ."
A person in charge of the Shanghai Maritime Logistics Company introduced to a reporter from the Securities Daily: "At present, the proportion of import and export trade by sea is imbalanced. There are few boxes coming in and many boxes going out . In addition, China has quickly prevented and controlled the epidemic, and overseas orders have continued to surge. , Increasing the pressure on shipping. Overseas, affected by the epidemic, the operation cycle of containers shipped out due to business environment problems has been lengthened, the arrival process has increased, and the operation efficiency has slowed and lengthened the circulation cycle. Due to the early outbreak of the epidemic, major shipping The company has reduced many routes, resulting in uneven distribution of global container volumes."
The industry believes that with the increase in market demand, the current effective capacity is obviously insufficient.
The relevant person in charge of COSCO Shipping Holdings revealed to the reporter: "As the global epidemic prevention and control has become normalized, global trade has been rapidly repaired since the third quarter of this year, and the demand in the container shipping market has recovered beyond expectations. In order to meet the growth of transportation demand, market capacity has gradually returned to normal. , The idle capacity has dropped rapidly from the record high of more than 2.7 million TEU (international standard unit units) in May this year. At present , there is no airworthy effective capacity to rent in the market. "
In the context of uneven global container deployment, container prices on different routes have also risen at different rates.
"Since November, the price of the U.S. line has increased by about four times compared with the beginning of the year, and the European line has risen to the highest price last year. From the perspective of the distribution of China’s export routes, the U.S. container accounts for 25%, Europe accounts for 25%, and Southeast Asia , Northeast Asia adds up to 50%, the US route is now hard to find a box is the norm, followed by the European route, freight is also very tight. The price of Malaysia route in Southeast Asia has also doubled recently." The person in charge of the aforementioned logistics company added.
Facing the increase in demand for containers, the above-mentioned relevant person in charge of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stated: “The company will strengthen scientific forecasts for container use, actively coordinate dual-brand superior resources, and make every effort to guarantee the use of containers during peak seasons. On the one hand, internally tap the potential and accelerate overseas heavy container Demolition speed, increase empty container callback domestic and Far East efforts to promote container turnover; on the other hand, close communication with container manufacturers and container leasing companies to seek more container sources. Through two-pronged and multiple measures, to guarantee domestic container use Provide effective assistance and try our best to meet the shipping needs of customers."
In order to meet the development needs of the container market, SIPG has launched a number of effective measures to promote container volume growth in response to the market. At the beginning of this year, the Group launched seven special measures for container growth, through the implementation of preferential international transit loading and unloading fees, extension of the international transit container storage exemption period, and sea-rail intermodal customs clearance container preferential projects. In the first half of the year, the Group established three major container areas: Yangshan, Outer Harbor, and Domestic Trade, striving to achieve overall planning and agglomeration effects.
According to SIPG’s official announcement, in October, each terminal of Shanghai Port set a new record. The monthly throughput of Shengdong Company exceeded 820,000 TEUs for the first time. Among them, 33068 TEUs and 12899.75 TEUs were updated on October 25. Class record; Guandong Company broke through 720,000 TEU, setting a new record again.
• How long can the "shortage of containers" last? What is the future prospect of the shipping industry?
"The first half of the year was affected by the new crown epidemic. Ports and shipping fields did suffer a relatively large negative impact, so the first half of the year was basically a negative growth state. In the second half of the year, especially after the third quarter, normal operations resumed to a certain extent, plus China The epidemic has been controlled to a certain extent, and most of the economic activities have been resumed first. Therefore, compared with the first half of the year, there is indeed a big sign of a bottoming out." said Liu Dian, a research assistant at the Chongyang Institute of Finance of Renmin University of China.
In the first two months of this year, my country's foreign trade imports and exports dropped significantly. According to China Customs data, from January to February 2020, my country's total import and export value of goods trade was 4.12 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6%. Among them, exports were 2.04 trillion yuan, down 15.9%; imports were 2.08 trillion yuan, down 2.4%.
Although the current domestic epidemic situation is under control, the global epidemic is breaking out, and exports are still under certain impact.
It can be said that in the first half of this year, people in the shipping industry were mainly pessimistic about my country's export prospects. In the second half of the year, the industry was generally optimistic about the future development of the shipping industry.
Insiders analyzed to the "Securities Daily" reporter that this round of container freight price increases began in the middle of this year. At that time, after the domestic epidemic was brought under control, foreign countries were greatly affected by the epidemic, and many overseas orders were transferred to the domestic market. When shipping from China, the shipping price began to rise. According to Liu Wang's prediction, this round of price increases will continue until the first quarter of next year.
An unnamed person in charge of maritime logistics said: "As the epidemic stabilizes, this hot market will continue into the first half of next year, or even longer."
"This wave of increase in container shipping prices has driven the adjustment of the entire foreign trade sector, breaking the laws of the past decades in the industry. Not only ocean freight, air freight and land transportation have different levels of influence and changes. The epidemic has accelerated the entire large trade sector. The consolidation and adjustment of the shipping sector will gradually move towards intensive development. Shipping companies have become monopolistic after years of integration and mergers. The aviation sector and the land transport sector are also rapidly integrated, and a new chapter will emerge in the future foreign trade field." People say so.
According to Huang Tianhua, chairman of the China Container Industry Association and vice president of CIMC, predicted that the shortage of containers may continue for about six months . He said: "We have monitored that if there are 500,000 new containers in China normally, they are in a completely healthy state if they are ready for use in the docks or ports, but the current tighter inventory is about 300,000 new containers. I expect it to be possible. In the next three months to six months, this slightly tense balance will continue. This is probably a trend in the current industry."
Although the industry is generally optimistic about the shipping industry, Liu Dian believes that the total global trade volume in 2020 will still drop a certain percentage from the previous year, but from the perspective of the shipping industry, it will definitely be from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. There will be a better market.
Liu Dian said: “Affected by the epidemic in the first half of the year, the uncertainties slowed down in the second half of the year, and the overall trend showed a relatively large rebound. Therefore, from a macro perspective, global international trade has rebounded to a certain extent. China is the first to resume the rebound led by the next."
" At present, the shipping industry is mainly affected by three factors :
Di Yi factor is that the global economy is expected to have a recovery, so after the third quarter, international trade has been warmer, led the field of shipping industry as a whole for the better, whether it is from container or just have some trade from the sea to pick up case .
The second factor is that with the signing of the RCEP agreement, a series of regional economic integration cooperation relations in East Asia and Southeast Asia will improve, which will benefit the import and export trade of China and related countries.
The third factor is that although the epidemic has not been eliminated on a global scale, all countries are in short supply, such as medical supplies, production supplies, and living supplies. China is now the world's largest trade surplus country. Under such circumstances, China's export trade, including part of its import trade, will also get a relatively large rebound in demand, and at the same time promote the rise of a series of shipping-related industry indexes in related fields, including the container shipping index. "Liu Dian said.
Price is only an indicator in the process of purchasing a product or service . If you simply compare prices, it is not so thoughtful. Price, quality, service, word of mouth, suitability for your own situation, etc. all need to be considered together.
General cargo aircraft air valence is usually divided into M, N, Q stage, wherein the stage is divided into Q + 45, + 100, + 300, + 500, + 1000, such as different levels - greater the weight, the rate cheaper . M stands for MinimumCharge. The lowest freight is also called the minimum freight. It is the lowest freight that airlines can accept for handling a batch of goods. N means NormalRate, which generally refers to a price less than 45KGS. To apply this freight rate, two conditions must be met at the same time: 1) It must be under 45 kg; 2) It must be ordinary goods-if the specified commodity freight rate is applicable, or the applicable grade The freight rate is not applicable to this freight rate, so N will also be marked as -45KGS. Q means QuantityRate. Q freight rate is the most common in actual shipments. Generally, air freight is mostly higher than 45 kg. If it is lower than 45 kg, general express is fine. Customs clearance is quick to return to the door and the speed is also Not bad.
Freight ForwardingHow does the company count as international Air freight? What constitutes air freight
Air freight rate composition:
1. Airfreight freight (charged by airlines)
2. Fuel surcharge (according to the airport, the price of the destination point is different, Hong Kong now generally the first 4 yuan, before 3.6, last year the highest 4.8, the price is adjusted by the airport, generally 2 yuan to Asia)
4. Airport operation fee (HKD283/ticket for Hong Kong, the airport is responsible for transporting goods on the plane, etc.)
5. Terminal fee: 1.72/kg When the goods are handed over to the dealer, the dealer is responsible for the boarding and other things, which will eventually be collected by the airport)
6. Air master bill fee: HKD15/bl is the bill of lading fee-proof of title.
The above is the " How does a freight forwarding company calculate international air freight? " compiled by the editor of Taijie International Logistics . What is the air freight rate? The detailed content, I hope it can be helpful to everyone. Now it is during the peak season of National Day. If you want to ship by air, you need to make an appointment in advance, and your goods can be shipped by air if they are more than 45 kg. Delivery from different places will also affect the calculation of air freight costs, but generally there will not be too much difference. You can consult several freight forwarding companies in Shenzhen to find out.
Ocean freight has been very developed in the 21st century. How to choose the container used in freight transportation ? The following editor will analyze it.
The emergence of containers is for the safety of the container and the ship, but before packing, it is necessary to know the volume, nature, type, and shape of the goods to choose a suitable container. Of course, some goods cannot be transported, and also The cargo will be damaged due to the wrong container.
As for how to choose the right container for the goods, let's talk about them one by one below.
How to choose the container used in sea freight ?
You can choose sundries containers for valuables and cleaning items; ventilated containers for perishables and dirty goods; refrigerated containers for refrigerated and dangerous goods; livestock (animal) containers for animals and plants; platform containers for bulky items, and bulk The cargo can choose bulk containers.
When we are shipping, it is very important to know how to choose the shipping container, and it is also to ensure the safe arrival of the goods to the destination.
