Shipping Australia stated that in order to reduce the backlog of empty containers at the port, liner companies directly incurred expenses and abandoned cargo operations , indicating that liner companies have provided great support for maintaining the normal operation of the Australian supply chain.
The accumulation of empty containers has always been a problem faced by major ports in the world. In Sydney, weather and other factors have exacerbated this problem, affecting the exchange of import and export containers by liner companies. In order to alleviate this problem, liner companies are increasing the number of ships at the port and paying additional ship operations and port fees for this.
New South Wales Minister of Transport and Roads Andrew Constance noted that the number of empty containers exported recently reached a record level . More than 78,000 empty containers were exported in October 2020, and more than 75,000 empty containers were exported in November. The average export volume of empty containers in the first 12 months was about 64,000.
In order to reduce the accumulation of empty containers at the port, the liner company was forced to reduce the export of heavy containers:
●At present, a liner company has successfully reduced its empty container inventory from 13,000 TEU to 5,000 TEU;
● Another liner company reduced its empty container inventory from 25,000 TEU to 16,000 TEU;
●Some companies have completely emptied the empty container inventory in New South Wales;
●A ship on the route from Northeast Asia to New Zealand has been transferred to Sydney Harbour to deliver empty containers;
●The two ships will cross Melbourne and stop at Sydney and Brisbane only to transport empty containers;
●A ship normally deployed on the Singapore-Fremantle route will stop service and transfer to the Singapore-Sydney-Singapore route to load empty containers. The ship has already picked up empty containers twice before;
●A liner company deploys two ships specifically for transporting empty containers during the peak season-one with a capacity of about 2200TEU and the other with a capacity of about 2800TEU;
● Another liner company has transported more than 12,000 FEU and more than 9,000 TEU. This company also temporarily deployed a ship to load 2,114 empty containers;
●In November last year, a liner company dispatched an empty ship to transport 1,384 empty containers, and it took 7 days to wait for the berth. Public data shows that in late November, the rent of a 2500TEU container ship was $15,500/day, and the rental price of 8,500TEU was $36,000/day, in addition to other costs such as crew wages and fuel.
In order to alleviate Australia's logistics supply chain difficulties, liner companies have undertaken a heavy financial burden . For example, the round-trip journey from Singapore to Sydney exceeds 9,500 nautical miles, and it takes at least 16 days to travel at a speed of 24 knots per hour (not including port time). Including crew wages, fuel costs, insurance fees, lubricating oil fees, storage fees, crew replenishment, chartering fees, tugboat fees, pilotage fees, mooring fees, port fees, etc., a 4250TEU ship needs 150 per voyage. Ten thousand Australian dollars. And this voyage loaded all empty containers, without any freight income.
According to the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index, the current freight rate of the Singapore-Fremantle route is US$2,431/TEU. It is roughly estimated that the opportunity cost of this voyage exceeds US$10 million.
There is no doubt that in order to reduce the accumulation of empty containers, these liner companies are paying a lot of money and giving up a lot of freight revenue. Faced with unprecedented demand growth, liner companies are doing their best to relieve the backlog of empty containers to ensure the normal flow of international shipping containers in the supply chain. At present, the accumulation of empty containers at the port is improving.
Last week we looked at the question, “Can anyone be a freight forwarder?”
how to choose a freight forwarder Hariesh commented on our blog, as well as mentioning in his own, that “any Tom, Dick, or Harry can call themselves a Freight Forwarder.”
Of course, you don’t want any Tom, Dick, or Harry handling your imports and exports. It’s important your freight forwarder knows how to handle your international shipping.
With all the freight forwarders that are out there, and the surprising ease to call yourself a freight forwarder, how do you go about choosing a freight forwarder whom you can be confident in?
Well, today’s blog covers just that. Here are 5 tips on how to choose a freight forwarder.
1. MAKE SURE THE FREIGHT FORWARDER HAS EXPERIENCE.
This could almost be the whole list. Experience, experience, experience.
It might be fairly easy to start a freight forwarding company, but the international shipping industry is not the easiest business sector in the world and if you don’t know what you’re doing, you won’t last long.
During TJ China Freight’s 27+ years as a freight forwarder, we’ve seen many, many company’s come and go.
Years of experience means your freight forwarder has dealt with different situations like dockworker strikes and port shutdowns, needs for rerouting cargo, smoothing out customs or warehousing issues, and so on.
Experience usually means your freight forwarder will help you avoid customs, warehousing, and routing problems before they even start so your international shipping will go smoothly.
Experience also gives time for a company to form and cultivate business relations around the world from which you will benefit. Which brings us to…
2. ASK ABOUT THE FREIGHT FORWARDER’S NETWORK OF AGENTS AND BUSINESS PARTNERS IN THE COUNTRY YOU’RE EXPORTING TO OR IMPORTING FROM.
This is obviously important for the local handling of your international shipments.
Your freight forwarder should have a strong network around the world, but you need to know that they have the connections in the countries/cities of origin and destination for your imports and exports.
If you’re exporting and importing to and from Germany, it doesn’t matter how good the freight forwarder’s connections are in China.
TJ China Freight has a very large network and ships to and from almost anywhere in the world; however, you may have noticed a key word in there: almost. There are a few places in the world TJ China Freight does not ship to or from.
You may have found a freight forwarder who is great for shipping to the Philippines, but don’t have the connections or experience to do a great job handling your imports from China. So make sure you ask about your freight forwarder’s connections and experience in the specific locations you need.
Business partnerships around the world also allow your freight forwarder to offer additional services, which brings us to…
3. MAKE SURE THE FREIGHT FORWARDER OFFERS THE SERVICES YOU NEED FOR YOUR SHIPMENT.
Look at the services the freight forwarder offers.
A freight forwarder should be able to handle more than just the air shipping or ocean shipping part of your import or export. They should also be able to handle the rail and/or trucking portion of your international shipping.
I guess if you only need port to port services instead of door to door shipping, you wouldn’t find it a big deal whether or not the freight forwarder offers this service; however, if they do not have a trucking option, that says something about the freight forwarder’s network.
However, there are more services you may want from your freight forwarder. For example, TJ China Freight partnered with TOLL to offer Supply Chain Value Added Services. This means we can help you with things like warehousing, distribution, etc.
Of course, cargo insurance better be among their services and shipment tracking is nice to have if only for your peace of mind.
4. MAKE SURE THE FREIGHT FORWARDER HAS GOOD REFERENCES.
This is good advice when you’re looking for any kind of service, not just freight forwarding.
If there’s no one willing to say a freight forwarder did a great job taking care of their imports and exports, that’s a big red flag.
5. MAKE SURE THE FREIGHT FORWARDER HAS GOOD CUSTOMER SERVICE.
This is hugely important.
How fast does the freight forwarder get back to you on your freight rate request or on answering your questions?
If you’re new to international shipping, are they able and willing to walk you through what you need to know and do to make sure all goes well with your imports and exports?
Your sales person at a freight forwarding company may not have all the answers to your questions as they might be new to the company or even the industry, but they should be able to get the answers for you from the experienced team they’re working with.
How good your freight forwarder is at taking care of your individual needs speaks a great deal about their ability to give the needed attention to your shipments.
Notice, I didn’t even put freight rates in this list as much more important is your freight forwarder’s ability to take care of your shipping needs professionally and precisely.
One freight forwarder may offer shipping rates well below the rest of the competition, but you’ll usually find yourself paying for choosing them in additional costs, delays, and very poor customer service.
But if you follow the five tips above, you should find a freight forwarder who has the contracts and network which allow them to offer competitive rates.
According to the news on December 29, it is reported that due to bad weather, coupled with the epidemic and holiday packages, there has been a surge in packages. According to statistics, about 6 million packages are piled up in warehouses in the United States every day . Data in the third week of December showed that UPS's on-time delivery rate has dropped from 93% to around 86% .
Pei Jiahua, president of FedEx Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa, said in a statement that the epidemic has disrupted the supply chain and production lines, and has had an impact on reliability delivery, but this peak freight season will be one of the busiest seasons in history.
It is reported that recently, many express companies such as Amazon and UPS in the United States have announced the suspension of aging guarantees and price increases.
Foreign media reported that retailers said that due to the squeeze of demand, FedEx FedEx is restricting the number of retailers' delivery, and retailers are now restricted from sending 75 packages a day .
According to the CEP-Research website, FedEx will increase most of the U.S. express and ground freight charges by 4.9% from January 4, 2021 ; in addition, from December 27 this year, United Parcel will charge for the use of its ground in the United States. Non-contractual customers for aviation and international services charge an average of 4.9% more.
It is understood that the U.S. Postal Service is also considering increasing the price of transportation services after obtaining approval from relevant price management agencies. According to the plan, the U.S. Postal Service will increase the prices of various transportation services by 1.2%-20% from January 24, 2021 . Among them, priority mail will increase prices by 3.5%, and priority mail express will increase prices by 1.2%.
If shippers and logistics companies hope that the ultra-high shipping container prices will fall in the New Year, then they may be disappointed.
Rolf Habben Jansen, CEO of shipping company Hapag-Lloyd, revealed at a press conference that global logistics giants and container liner companies expect that the chaotic market, lack of berths, and container shortages, etc., will still be available by 2021. Will last for a while.
In addition, Tim Scharwath, CEO of freight forwarding giant DHL Global Freight Forwarding, also attended the meeting. What the two CEOs have in common is that they agree that 2020 is characterized by great unpredictability, such as promising customers whether their goods will reach their destinations on time, which is very unpredictable.
As time goes by and the year is coming to an end, shippers have to pay more and more freight to ship the goods. This development is largely due to the sharp increase in demand month by month since July. For example, it is not uncommon to have to pay US$5,000 for shipping containers from Hong Kong to New York.
▍It will not stabilize until the second half of 2021
The two executives agreed that after the outbreak of the new crown pneumonia this spring, the very special environment has caused a historic imbalance between supply and demand. They also believe that the shipping market will not stabilize for the time being.
Scharwath said: "As for shipping, I think we must enter the second half of 2021 before we see the market stabilize again. The first quarter will definitely be affected, and so will the second quarter."
"We will have to wait and see what happens, because everything is difficult to predict. As a large company, we usually make plans for 3 to 5 years. Now, we are making plans for 3 months."
Inadequate ship capacity and insufficient containers have serious consequences for the industry’s supply chain. In addition to customer dishonesty and record high freight rates, a recent survey conducted by Sea-Intelligence shows that only half of the ships can reach their destinations on time .
▍Shipping companies strengthen management and control
Mainly affected by the new crown epidemic, container shipping companies’ performance in the second quarter was weak, but their profits have soared to record levels since the summer. However, the quality of service is lacking, and container shipping companies have been stating for months that these conditions are beyond the scope that they can change.
On the one hand, they do not have more ships to deploy, on the other hand, they cannot redistribute the containers to the required ports. In addition to other reasons, customers do not return the goods.
Currently, Asia in particular is suffering from a shortage of containers because many containers are in the United States. According to a Bloomberg report, it may also be because of port congestion that these containers cannot be unloaded at US ports. This is the case with 20 container ships currently near the Port of Long Beach.
Therefore, at the beginning of December, CMA CGM, Maersk and ONE had to refuse to leave the booking outside of Asia, the reason is very simple, because there is no extra space on board.
Hapag-Lloyd, led by Habben Jansen, also benefited from the increase in freight rates in recent months. Therefore, the shipping company has twice raised its full-year 2020 profit forecast, and the company currently expects its operating results to exceed US$2.7 billion.
However, the CEO said that it is usually because of an oversupply of ships, and 10 years after the industry has lost billions of dollars, it is time for container shipping companies to start making money.
▍Strong performance in the second quarter of next year
Until recently, shipping companies and container manufacturers also predicted that the current shortage of containers will be resolved after the Chinese New Year in February, which will restore the market to a more normal state. But Habben Jansen no longer believes this prediction is correct.
"This year’s development is beyond everyone’s expectations. Because of the introduction of economic stimulus measures, people still have money on hand, and most of the money has been spent on container cargo. Many signs indicate that the strong market we see after the Spring Festival has passed. It will appear and will continue into the second quarter."
Habben Jansen pointed out that the current market congestion will take some time to resolve.
In recent months, the number of ships going to the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach has almost doubled, and the nearby seas have been heavily congested, causing extensive delays in routes north of the United States and even affecting the throughput of the Port of Oakland. The Marine Exchange of Southern California in Los Angeles confirmed the incident. According to statistics, 52 container ships entered and exited the San Pedro Bay port on Monday alone, and the daily average for the year was 24 ships, even more exaggerated is that the number of berthed ships reached 23 ships, and the daily average is only one.
The rapid increase in the number of trans-Pacific freighters has boosted the throughput data of California container ports. According to statistics, the container throughput of the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach in November showed double-digit growth-the container throughput of the Port of Los Angeles in November Soared to 889,746 TEU, an increase of 22% over the same period last year. Officials from the local port and shipping authority stated that there has been an unprecedented surge in freight volume under the influence of factors such as the increase in consumers at the end of the year, the approaching holidays such as Christmas and New Year, and the inventory of various units.
The gap between imports and exports across the United States has widened again, and the rate of empty containers in ports has skyrocketed
Gene Seroka, Executive Director of the Port of Los Angeles, said at a news conference on Wednesday, “After nearly 11 months of year-on-year decline in freight volume, we have now ushered in 4 consecutive months of year-on-year growth. In the past month, our monthly average throughput reached 930,000 TEUs. But related to this, our export volume was affected by many factors-mainly due to the continuing trade tensions with China and the continued appreciation of the U.S. dollar. The volume dropped by 5.5% compared to the same period last year, and it was down nearly 15% for the whole year. Fully loaded containers were even shipped back to Asia empty after being unloaded at our port. This month, the number of empty containers was as high as 294,000 TEUs. This was an increase of nearly 35% in the same period last year."
The Port of Long Beach also stated in a press release that November was the best November on record, and that this was the result of the holiday retail boom and the surge in delivery of medical protective equipment-the Port of Long Beach in November The container throughput was 783,523 TEUs, an increase of 30.6% over the same period last year. The situation at the Port of Long Beach is entirely related to the surge in imports. Imports increased by 30.5%, soaring to 382,677 TEUs; but exports fell 5.2% to 117,283 TEUs-like the Port of Los Angeles, the empty container rate increased by 55% to 283,563 TEUs Standard box.
Mario Cordero, Executive Director of the Port of Long Beach, said: "As consumers choose to live at home this year, online shopping and purchases of medical protective equipment have gradually increased. However, as a new round of new crown pneumonia epidemic is still spreading across the country, The overall economic outlook is uncertain."
This is the highest port import volume that U.S. ports have encountered in the past decade
Some analysts believe that due to the restrictions of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, consumers are unable to spend money on services and start to spend money on goods, resulting in this unexpected growth, and the new crown epidemic has also contributed to the prosperity of container ports (at least Is temporary).
Excessive accumulation of goods has become a problem that more and more container ports are facing. MarineTraffic AIS (Ship Positioning) data shows that an average of more than 20 container ships are waiting in Los Angeles and San Pedro Bay in Long Beach every day. This is the same as the number of ships at anchorage last week.
Source: Marine Traffic
John McCown, the founder of Blue Alpha Capital, said that this seemed unimaginable when the new crown epidemic began. He added: "Considering the possible increase in December 2020, the annual increase will be around 1.5%, which will reverse the slight decline of 0.9% in 2019.
McCown pointed out that there were several industries where imports surged in November. Imports of furniture, sporting goods and toys increased by 55%. In October and September, they increased by 52% and 41%, respectively. "The lifestyle at home has driven the sales of a range of consumer products." He added that the surge in demand is partly due to consumers' redistribution of spending that is usually used for vacations, dining out and entertainment.
According to data from Blue Alpha Capital, despite the positive import data, US exports in November fell by 4.2%, the ninth consecutive month of decline, further exacerbating trade imbalances, and the import load ratio of each export reached 2.32, which is close to the historical record. .
McCown said: "The latest data seems to confirm that the impact of the trade war on our container exports is greater than the impact on our container imports."
Facing the soaring imports from the west coast, the port of Auckland in the north is not so lucky
Unlike the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles on the west coast, the Port of Oakland in the north increased its throughput by less than 1% year-on-year in November and its export volume fell by 2.6%. In November, the total imported container volume was 78,045 TEUs.
Officials at the Port of Oakland said that despite the strong import demand from the United States, the import volume of our port is far from reaching the expected value. The official quoted reports from local maritime experts as saying that it is precisely because of large batches of imported goods across the United States that disrupted the normal freight arrangements at ports, causing large-scale delays in the delivery of goods at many ports. What needs to be pointed out is that the increased accumulation of imported cargo in Southern California ports has caused ship delays, and many ships originally scheduled to call at the Port of Oakland have been forced to change their routes or directly cancel their call arrangements.
The director of the Port of Oakland, Bryan Brandes, declared that everyone does not need to be so pessimistic. “The cargo that should come to our port will still come, at most a while later (Thecargo is there, it's just delayed).” He expects to wait until December for a certain amount of cargo. Will grow.
However, Brandes also acknowledged that the increase in the number of incoming ships on the west coast has had a butterfly effect on the Port of Oakland. "Most of the cargo east of the trans-Pacific route is the Los Angeles route directly, and then some of it will go north to and from the Port of Oakland. So once the Port of Los Angeles produces Because of the delay, we will have a little impact here more or less."
U.S. agricultural exports have been affected by the chain, and this new year may not have been easy
The Port of Oakland is an export gateway favored by agricultural producers in central California, and it is now being hit by disruptions in the supply chain. As the Spring Festival approaches, exporters of agricultural products in many places, including California, said that due to shipping delays, their export business has been affected on a large scale-especially almond and walnut exporters, whose export peaks are at the end of each year.
Ed DeNike, President of SSA Terminals, said: "The biggest problem is due to traffic congestion in Southern California. Freight ships have not left Southern California. The arrival of the ships at the Port of Oakland may be delayed for at least one week."
Peter Schneider, vice president of freight company TGS Logistics, said that the butterfly effect of port congestion on the inland supply chain is getting worse. TGS now has to double the capacity of their container warehouse in Auckland. Because of the delay in the arrival of the ship, the shipping company will either refuse to accept all the exported goods or change the date of receiving the exported goods. This has caused exporters’ services to overseas buyers. Had a great impact.
my country's port containers are "difficult to find"
On the one hand, U.S. agricultural product exporters were delayed due to ship delays, and on the other hand, Chinese product exports were restricted by the shortage of containers.
According to economic data released by my country, China set a new record of trade surplus in November-US$75.4 billion, and exports increased by 21.1% year-on-year. Among them, exports to the United States led the growth and hit a record high. Analysts pointed out that the surge in trade imports to China is contrary to the expectations of U.S. bipartisan politicians. Although the Trump administration has imposed various restrictions on Chinese goods, there are few signs that the global supply chain will move closer to the U.S. On the contrary, the long-term impact of the epidemic on the United States seems to strengthen the position of China's manufacturing industry.
According to port carriers, due to the heavy congestion of major ports in the United Kingdom and the United States, a large number of containers have been stranded in these ports, which has affected global container turnover. The shortage of empty containers in Asian ports is so serious that carriers sometimes cannot guarantee Loading cargo at Asian loading ports.
Although carriers have made every effort to send empty containers from the United States to Asia-these measures even include "self-harm" measures such as drastically reducing the free container period, they still cannot change the reality of a serious shortage of containers in Asia, especially in China The ports of Xiamen, Ningbo and Shanghai, so that some ships cannot leave Asia with full load.
Which industries are the lucky ones this year? Today, I will give you an inventory. Which industries will the export pick up in 2020?
1. Furniture
In the second half of this year, export orders for the furniture industry increased significantly. According to data from Alibaba International Station, as of the end of October, the furniture industry's transaction volume increased by 191% year-on-year, and the number of payment orders increased by 112% year-on-year. Furniture products such as sofas, beds, office desks and chairs, dining tables and chairs, and children's beds are most popular in overseas markets.
2. Small appliances
According to statistics from iiMedia.com, in the first half of this year, China's exports of electric frying pans, bread machines, and juicers increased by 62.9%, 34.7%, and 12.1% respectively. According to data from Alibaba International Station, the demand for air purifiers, air fryer, facial care appliances, and refrigerators all increased by more than 200% year-on-year.
3.LED
According to the "Report on China's Lighting Industry Exports in the First Three Quarters of 2020" issued by the China Lighting Association, in September 2020, China's lighting industry exports were US$5.113 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.18%, which was the largest in a single month this year. The growth rate has achieved double-digit growth for four consecutive months since June. Among them, the export value of LED lighting products was US$3.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 40.5%, and the cumulative export value of LED lighting products from January to September this year was US$23.46 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.45%.
Industry insiders told reporters that the reason for the increase in orders for the industry’s recovery is that the domestic control of the epidemic is relatively fast, and many overseas orders are flowing domestically. In addition, the backlog of domestic orders has entered the late stage of implementation, and LED exports have seen a substantial increase.
4. Computer
In the first half of the year, the consumption increase of the "home economy" drove the export of notebook computers and mobile phones to increase by 9.1% and 0.2% respectively. The hot sales of computers really continued. By the third quarter of 2020, global PC shipments increased by 12.7%, a 10-year high.
When introducing the import and export situation in the first three quarters of this year, the General Administration of Customs pointed out that my country's consumer electronics product industry chain and supply chain have obvious advantages. The total export of notebook computers, tablet computers, home appliances and other "home economy" commodities is 880.8 billion yuan, an increase of 17.8%. .
5.3D printer
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, boosted by overseas hot sales, China's 3D printing equipment output increased by 87.7% year-on-year in the first quarter, and this growth rate further rose to 344.7% in April.
Domestic 3D printer manufacturers are mainly located in Shenzhen, Dongguan and the Yangtze River Delta in the Pearl River Delta. They have a solid foreign trade foundation and generally show a trend of rising against the trend in the epidemic.
6. Bicycle
Bicycles have also accelerated their "riding" abroad. Statistics from the General Administration of Customs show that as of September this year, the number and value of bicycle exports have achieved positive year-on-year growth for five consecutive months. According to relevant data from Alibaba International Station, the number of orders in the bicycle industry in October increased by 220% year-on-year.
7. Toys
As the world's largest toy exporter, China's toy exports also welcomed good news in the second half of the year. The sales volume of Yiwu AliExpress toy factory started to pick up in July. Since July, the four-month sales volume has more than doubled from the first half of the year. It is expected that the sales volume in the fourth quarter of this year may reach three times that of the first half. According to data from the China Toys and Baby Products Association, traditional toys exported US$3.54 billion in July, an increase of 21.2% year-on-year; in August they achieved exports of US$3.94 billion, an increase of 2.6% year-on-year; in September they achieved exports of US$4.11 billion, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year .
8. Textile and clothing
The latest data released by the Consumer Goods Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology shows that from January to November this year, my country’s textile and apparel exports reached US$265.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%.
9. Electronics, medical
Bai Ming, deputy director of the International Market Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said that since this year, my country's exports in the fields of electronics, textiles, and medical care have maintained rapid growth. Bai Ming believes that in the context of the impact of the epidemic on the industrial chains of other countries, many foreign trade orders have been transferred to China, which has also won development opportunities for Chinese foreign trade companies.
An electronics factory in Dongguan is a manufacturer of electronic components. 70% of the company's orders are exported to European and American markets. According to the deputy general manager of the factory, since the beginning of this year, due to the impact of the epidemic, there has been a strong demand for 3C electronic products, and orders from electronics companies have generally increased.
A hardware manufacturer is a metal parts processing company that specializes in springs. According to the person in charge of the company's brand business department, since this year, the company has seen a downward trend in orders for traditional products in the fields of household appliances, and accessories for the medical and personal hygiene fields. Products, export orders have increased significantly. "This year, the order growth of our emerging business is expected to be around 30%. The order growth of the emerging business has made up for the loss of the decline in orders for traditional products."
10. Spicy strips
CCTV news on December 2 that Chinese cuisine has always been praised by the world. In recent years, with the continuous development of industries such as culture and logistics, Chinese snacks have also become a new favorite of overseas consumers.
Take spicy strips as an example, exports have continued to grow in recent years. According to relevant platform data, the export value of spicy noodles in the second half of 2020 increased by more than 120% year-on-year, and they were exported to 160 countries. The countries that bought the most spicy noodles overseas were Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and the United States.
Related tips:
Accompanied by the "explosive orders" of exports is the "difficulties in recruiting workers." The demand for labor in factories has increased, but the number and speed of return of personnel have continued to be low. Many foreign trade processing companies in coastal areas such as Guangdong and Zhejiang are unable to complete the skyrocketing overseas orders. Please pay attention to the relevant impact.
Winter is coming, Europe and the United States continue to fight back against the epidemic! The most advanced blockade in London, England, or full blockade in New York!
The continuation of the new crown epidemic has caused shipping companies to continue to face port backlogs and ship delays. The tail-end logistics delivery also depends on luck. International supply chains are becoming increasingly tense and global trade is facing the risk of disruption.
Epidemics in Europe and America counterattack menacingly
According to data from Johns Hopkins University in the United States, as of 7:27 on the 16th Beijing time, there were 73,365,192 confirmed cases of new crowns worldwide, and 1,632,554 deaths. The United States is still the most severely affected country in the world, with 16,677,333 confirmed cases and 303,046 deaths.
▍London enters the highest level of blockade again, and the port is still heavily congested
It has been less than two weeks before Christmas, and people are shopping and preparing for the holiday enthusiastically. However, the epidemic in Europe has raised concerns again at this time.
The British epidemic is already a real rebound!
According to the latest epidemic report, there were 18,450 newly diagnosed cases in the UK in a single day, and a total of 1,869,666 confirmed cases; 506 new deaths in a single day, and a total of 64,908 deaths.
Infection in London
On the afternoon of the 14th, the British Secretary of Health Hancock officially announced in the House of Commons that London, the west and south of Essex, and the south of Hertfordshire will be upgraded to the strictest level three lockdown from Wednesday (16th). .
After the escalation of the Level 3 lockdown in London, the following measures need to be strictly observed:
• Bars, restaurants, and cafes are closed, and only take-out and delivery services are reserved;
• Shops, gyms, and barber shops can continue to be open;
• People are not allowed to socialize with people from other families indoors, private gardens or most outdoor public places;
• Up to 6 people can socialize outdoors;
• Fans are once again prohibited from entering football fields and other stadiums;
• Cinemas and bowling alleys are closed;
• People are advised not to go to the tertiary lockdown zone.
British Health Secretary Matt Hancock warned on Wednesday that according to current trends, the government will have to take stricter measures in the capital to effectively limit the spread of the new crown virus.
The Mayor of London warned that “if London enters the third level of lockdown, it will be catastrophic for those industries that have been severely affected by the new crown pandemic.”
Although London was initially listed as a “second-tier lockdown” city when the nationwide blockade measures were lifted on December 2, London’s current level of restrictions will be reassessed next week, just as the relaxation of Christmas regulations is coming A few days before it becomes effective.
In addition, severe congestion in most ports in the UK has forced several shipping companies to impose congestion surcharges and cancel some flights.
British importers are currently facing major challenges, and the shipping division of the Ocean Alliance decided to transfer the other five ships that arrived in Felixstowe in December to Zeebrugge, Belgium. Cosco Shipping Azalea, Ever Goods, Ever Globe, CSCL Jupiter and CSCL Uranus will no longer call at Felixstowe, and will unload British imports at Belgian ports.
British ports continued to increase congestion, 2M abandoned Felixstowe and switched to Liverpool, and major shipping companies cancelled berthing at hub ports. Starting from the end of this year, the 2M Alliance has replaced the Port of Felixstowe with the Port of Liverpool on its TA2/NEUATL2 ring route across the Atlantic.
In addition, in front of the cargo entrance of the Eurotunnel in the Port of Dover in the UK, trucks waiting in line to enter were parked, and the congestion continued for several kilometers.
▍New York City in the United States may be completely blocked, 23 container ships are waiting at anchorage in California
On December 14, local time, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio (Bill de Blasio) said that due to the deterioration of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, there is a possibility of a complete lockdown in New York City.
He said that since May, he has never seen the current level of new coronavirus infections. Action must be taken to stop this growth momentum. The number one job at present is to protect the health and safety of residents.
In an interview with CNN, Bai Sihao said: “We must start to close the most sensitive areas.” When asked about possible lockdown measures, he said, “I think we must be prepared in the next few weeks to deal with the current new crown pneumonia. With the momentum of the epidemic, we must stop it before it causes too much damage and too much pain."
New York Governor Cuomo pointed out that on Monday, a total of 5,712 patients with COVID-19 were treated in hospitals across New York State. At the peak of the spring, more than 18,000 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized.
Both de Blasio and Cuomo agreed to ban indoor dining in New York City from Monday to curb the surge in hospital admissions. However, they are divided on the circumstances under which they will issue the city-wide blockade order.
According to the latest data released by the Port of Los Angeles, the port's container throughput in November increased by 22% year-on-year to more than 889,000 TEUs. Gene Seroka, executive director of the port, said that every part of the logistics supply chain of major ports around the world is still under constant tension.
On Tuesday, 15 container ships berthed at the Port of Los Angeles, but there were 23 more anchored at the anchored San Pedro Bay. Of these, 14 will go to berth in Los Angeles and 9 will go to berth at Long Beach Port.
It also introduced, “The stay time of containers at the terminal remains at about 5 days, which is twice as long as before the surge in imports in the summer. However, the average waiting time for warehouses and storage space is currently only 6.3 days compared to 7.1 days in October. Get better."
"The situation at the anchorage is currently a real concern for all of us. Many ships currently need to anchor and enter a waiting mode before berthing," Seroka continued. In November, 50 of the 88 ships that arrived in Los Angeles had to drop anchor first, with an average berthing time of two and a half days. So far in December, about 80% of arriving ships will drop anchor first. Now the waiting time has increased to 4 days. "
▍Germany issued the strictest blockade order
On the 13th local time, the German Federation and the state governments agreed to further tighten the epidemic prevention and control measures from the 16th until January 10, 2021.
Retail stores except for food and essential daily necessities will be closed;
Schools and kindergartens will stop teaching face-to-face courses, but will provide distance education;
Business employers should provide employees with vacation or home office solutions.
According to the media, the strength of this "hard blockade order" is almost equal to that of the "wide blockade."
In addition, German Chancellor Angela Merkel warned that Germany will face a new peak of new crown infections next month, which makes people suspect that the hard blockade imposed on Wednesday may not end in early January as originally planned. It is reported that German law requires the government to re-evaluate the nationwide blockade every four weeks.
DHL suspends services in 12 European countries
The current logistics situation really puts some cargo owners in trouble. According to freight forwarders, Hong Kong DHL standard channels have added 6 countries with 0-5KG parcels suspended for shipping services.
The six countries are the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Finland, Turkey, and Bulgaria. In addition to the previously suspended countries-Austria, Germany, Portugal, Spain, Romania, and Nigeria, 12 countries have suspended delivery services.
Congestion and delays in UPS, FedEx and FBA are commonplace. Now even USPS has been complained by sellers that USPS delays have ruined Christmas.
Many sellers abroad have begun to complain about the surge in USPS delays, leading to a surge in complaints from buyers. There are even eBay sellers that have started a holiday mode and plan to return to sell after January.
According to foreign media reports, outside the United States Post Office on Broadway, USPS delivery trucks are already in long queues. A truck driver has been waiting for 16 hours to unload the truck’s packages. Finally, after many round trips, they waited for two. After a day and a half, the USPS truck driver was finally able to unload his cargo.
Outbreaks in other countries
Japan : In view of the continuing deterioration of the epidemic, the Japanese government announced on the evening of the 14th that it will temporarily suspend travel subsidies aimed at encouraging consumption across the country. Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga announced on the evening of the 14th that from December 28 to January 11, 2021, the country will suspend the "go travel" tourism subsidy program, and the government will compensate the operators for some of the losses.
Netherlands : In view of the rapid development of the new crown epidemic, Dutch Prime Minister Rutte made a television speech on the 14th, announcing that it will comprehensively upgrade prevention and control measures, including closing schools, closing "non-essential" stores, avoiding unnecessary travel, and working from home as much as possible.
Singapore : Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong delivered a national speech on the 14th, announcing that Singapore will enter the third phase of relaxation of epidemic control measures on December 28. Singapore’s anti-epidemic inter-departmental working group further explained that starting from December 28, the government will further relax restrictions on the flow of people in shopping malls and retail stores, and tourist attractions can also apply to increase passenger capacity. In addition, the government has increased the maximum number of attendees for indoor and outdoor live performances to 250 people.
Palestine : Palestinian Prime Minister Ashtiye said on the 14th that whether to receive the new crown vaccine depends on personal wishes, and the Palestinian government will not force people to receive the new crown vaccine. The new crown vaccine is expected to begin to arrive in Palestine at the beginning of next year, when medical staff and the elderly will be given priority.
Rwanda : Rwanda’s Ministry of Health, Daniel N’gamij, said on the 13th that while the country’s current confirmed cases of new crowns have surged, the number of deaths has also increased, and the Rwanda epidemic has entered a “dangerous stage”. He called on all people to comply with the new crown epidemic prevention measures and avoid going to crowded places and participating in social gatherings when unnecessary.
In 2020, global shipping logistics started as a nightmare due to the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, but at the end of the year it ushered in unprecedented popularity. The price of container transportation has been rising for several consecutive months, and the current freight rate can be described as "rising every day"...
The spot freight rate from Asia to Northern Europe is at a record high, and the annual contract price is expected to rise sharply. The impact of the new epidemic lockdown measures on sales, shippers have increased concerns about soaring freight and surcharges, which may lead to next year The wave of order cancellations.
Asia-Europe part of the freight rate exceeds 10,000 US dollars, and shippers face challenges in the Asia-Europe contract season
The freight forwarder stated that since Asia-Europe freight rates have increased by at least 5 times year-on-year, and the total freight rates of some goods have exceeded US$10,000/FEU, shippers are delaying or canceling shipments before the freight rates are adjusted.
The Shanghai Container Freight Index shows that in the week ending December 11, spot freight rates in Asia and Europe increased 24% from the previous week to US$2,948 per TEU. However, freight forwarders stated that the index reflects market conditions incompletely, and shippers’ quotations exceeded $10000/FEU.
A source said: "We are beginning to see customers canceling reservations because the prices are too high."
Shipping from China to the UK in January, the shipping company is now quoting 10,000 US dollars / 40'HC at sight, the source said: "I heard that the price is 13,500 US dollars."
In addition to the additional costs of shipping companies, including the increase in scheduled cancellation fees, freight forwarders worry that customers will refuse or fail to pay all the additional costs caused by the interruption of the supply chain.
European shippers are preparing for the upcoming contract season and have issued warnings to shipping companies that they will take further action if they try to maintain this year’s sharply increased rates.
The freight from Asia to Europe is as high as US$10,000/FEU, including various surcharges currently applicable to the industry. The Global Shippers Forum (GSF) said that due to “overpriced”, many shippers are currently not delivering goods at all. Small and medium-sized companies cannot pay additional fees.
GSF Secretary General James Hookham said: “The shipper cannot afford the various increased rates and therefore loses business.”
Freight rates in Europe and East Asia continue to rise
▍Maersk announced new fees in Europe and East Asia from December to next year
Maersk announced a new peak season surcharge (PSS), which applies to refrigerated goods from the Far East to Northern and Southern European countries. The surcharge will be $1,000 / 20' reefer container, $1,500 / 40' reefer container, effective from December 15th, and Taiwan will be effective from January 1, 2021.
In addition, since December 1, MSC has implemented PSS of US$500/20' and US$750/40' for all dry goods from the UK, Ireland, Northern Spain, Portugal and the Baltic Sea to the Far East.
In addition, MSC has adjusted the following rates starting from December 1, 2020 until further notice, but not exceeding December 31, 2020.
▍Hapag-Lloyd announced to increase the surcharge from Asia to many places in Europe
A few days ago, Hapag-Lloyd announced new prices from Asia to Europe and the Mediterranean, which will take effect on January 1, 2021.
Hapag-Lloyd also issued a new general tax rate increase (GRI) for all dry containers, reefer containers, non-operational reefer containers, storage tanks, flat racks and open-top containers from South Asia and Northeast Asia to Australia , since January 1. Effective.
Southeast Asia to Australia
US $ 150/20'
US $ 300/40'
Northeast Asia to Australia
US $ 300/20'
US $ 600/40'
From December 7th, Hapag-Lloyd will implement another GRI for all goods and all types of containers from East Asia to the East Coast of South America at USD 550 per container.
At the same time, Hapag-Lloyd announced that it will postpone the GRI implemented in eastbound trade from East Asia to all destinations in the United States and Canada on December 1, and the new effective date is January 1, 2021.
This general rate increase is applicable to all dry goods, refrigerated cabinets, non-operational refrigerated cabinets, storage tanks, pallets and open top containers. Details are as follows:
East Asia to North America (United States and Canada)
US$960/20'
US$1200/40'
East Asia includes countries/regions in Japan, South Korea, China, China/Taiwan, China/Hong Kong, China/Macau, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Myanmar, Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei, Indonesia, Philippines, and Russia’s Pacific Rim provinces.
In response to the current serious shortage of containers in the Asian market, Hapag-Lloyd CEO Habben Jansen recently stated that “the congestion of the port and the strong demand in the market have caused the increase in traffic to exacerbate this problem. This kind of tension will continue for another 6-8 weeks. It will be alleviated.” The pressure on the supply chain caused by the shortage of containers in Asia will continue for at least another 6-8 weeks, which means that shortages will still be faced in the next two months, which will also affect shipments before the Spring Festival.
Container freight rates continue to soar, reaching high levels far above the long-term sustainable level. The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) set a record of 2131.71 points, an increase of 162% over the same period last year. After experiencing a sharp increase in freight rates that initially lags behind the Pan-Pacific region, spot freight rates in northern Europe have soared up 230% compared to the same period last year. Moreover, the freight quotation in Asia and Northern Europe has reached US$10,000 per 40-foot high cabinet.
According to the shipping index released by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange in the latest issue, the overall export container shipping market in China remains high. The freight rates of most ocean routes operated steadily, and some increased significantly, and the composite index rose. On December 11, Shanghai's comprehensive export container freight index was 2311.71 points, an increase of 8.6% over the previous period.
Asia to Europe (Far East Europe Mediterranean route) : Near the end of the year, the volume of the European market remains high. The recurrence of the epidemic has also stimulated the growth of local import demand and strong transportation demand. The lack of containers in the market also affects European routes. Strong market demand and severe equipment shortages are expected to continue after the Spring Festival in 2021.
Last week, the average occupancy utilization rate of ships in Shanghai Port remained at the full level. Affected by this, most airlines increased their freight rates sharply in the middle of the month, and the spot market booking prices rose sharply. On December 11, the freight rate (sea and ocean surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the European basic port market was US$2,948/TEU, an increase of 24.2% from the previous period. In the Mediterranean route , the market situation is basically the same as that in Europe, and the spot market freight rate has risen sharply. On December 11, the freight rate (sea freight and ocean freight surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the Mediterranean basic port market was 3073 US dollars/TEU, breaking the 3000 US dollars mark, an increase of 28.9% from the previous period.
However, there is news that the actual freight paid by the shipper is much higher in order to ensure the container and the final remaining European space . Lars Jensen of SeaIntelligence said that there is anecdotal evidence that the exact freight paid by shippers on the Asia-Northern Europe trade route may be as high as US$5,000 per TEU. Jensen explained: “In this case, it’s important to note that in some cases, SCFI underestimates the actual freight paid because there are additional costs related to equipment and space availability.”
A British freight forwarding company confirmed to The Loadstar that the freight quotation in Asia and Northern Europe has reached US$10,000 per 40-foot high container . "It's crazy," he said.
At the same time, all carriers will raise GRI again on December 15 . The current extreme shortage of 40-foot high cabinets suggests that alternative alternatives will continue to increase in freight rates this week; it is worth noting that due to port congestion and limited land capacity, cargo to the UK is subject to many restrictions, and delays and operational problems are expected. Some carriers stopped accepting bookings sent to the UK.
Due to the strong demand for containers and the backlog in recent weeks. CMA CMA CGM notified that it will temporarily stop accepting bookings from Asia to Europe, that is, temporarily suspend bookings for the 49th, 50th and 51st week Asia-Northern Europe routes. Another shipping company recently told Asia-Northern Europe customers that if the shipment is cancelled within two weeks after the shipment date, it hopes to charge a fee of US$1,000 per TEU.
Asia to North America (trans-Pacific eastbound route): The US epidemic is showing a trend of major outbreaks, with new cases hitting new highs in a single day. Severe epidemics have caused frequent port congestion and blocked transit. The problem of equipment imbalance in Asia continues, and supply and demand are severely unbalanced. Ningbo Port, ports in Southeast Asia and Busan Port are the loading ports with the most serious equipment shortages. The carrier's cargo backlog has become more serious, and it is increasingly difficult to book containers.
Last week, the average space utilization rate of ships on the Shanghai Port to West and East US routes remained close to the full load level. The freight rate is high and stable, and the spot market booking price is basically the same as the previous period. SCFI data shows that the spot freight rate from Shanghai to the east coast of the United States increased by 104 U.S. dollars to 4804 U.S. dollars per FEU, an increase of 91% over the same period last year, while the freight rate to the U.S. West Coast was basically the same at 3,984 U.S. dollars/FEU. Nevertheless, it has increased by 188% compared to the same period last year.
There does not appear to be any sign of slowing down in freight volumes to the West Coast of the United States. The Port of Los Angeles expects that containers will increase by 48% and 44% in the next two weeks. The Los Angeles and Long Beach terminals are under tremendous pressure due to the sharp increase in throughput. According to forecasts, the total volume of the Port of Los Angeles in the fourth quarter will increase by 40% year-on-year, exceeding 850,000 TEUs. Ships are waiting at the anchorage in San Pedro Bay for a long time. 6 days.
Jon Monroe of Jon Monroe Consulting, Washington State, said: "Consumer recovery is gaining momentum. Black Friday sales have grown strongly, up 21% from last year. If you have not ordered the goods shipped before the Lunar New Year, you may be too late. Up."
South American routes: The raging epidemic has affected the production capacity of South American countries, their dependence on foreign materials is high, and transportation demand has remained high. In this period, most of the average space utilization of ships in Shanghai Port is at the full load level. Near the middle of the month, most airlines increased their booking prices, and the spot market freight rates rose. On December 11, the freight rate (sea and ocean surcharges) for exports from Shanghai to the South American basic port market was 5876 US dollars/TEU, an increase of 12.5% from the previous period.
In other routes, SCFI's spot freight rates have risen almost across the board. For example, the freight rates from Asia to South Africa rose 15% this period to US$2,289 per TEU, an increase of 130% over the same period last year.
The analysis of the US retail supply chain experts pointed out that after setting a new record in the fall of this fall, the US's ocean container imports continued to maintain strong growth thanks to retailers' replenishment of inventories and large orders from e-commerce platforms.
Jonathan Gold, vice president of supply chain and customs policy at the National Federation of Retailers (NRF), said that the new crown pneumonia epidemic has made 2020 one of the most difficult years in the history of the supply chain industry, but fortunately, the supply chain has experienced Lived the test of life and death. Jonathan said: "So far, holiday products are abundant, and the experience of the epidemic in 2020 has taught us many experiences and lessons."
Ben Hackett, the founder of the consulting firm Associates, emphasized that imports have experienced a roller coaster-like market. The retail inventory-to-sales ratio soared to 1.68 in April and dropped to 1.22 in June, and has maintained this level ever since.
According to the "Global Port Tracking Monthly Report", the US ocean container imports in October were 2.21 million TEU. This figure is an increase of 17.6% compared to the same period last year and an increase of 5.2% from the 2.1 million TEU in September. This is the highest monthly record since the Federation of American Retailers started tracking container imports in 2002.
U.S. sea container imports will increase by 2.4% year-on-year in January next year
The Federation of American Retailers predicts that in January 2021, the import volume of seaborne containers in the United States was 1.86 million TEU, an increase of 2.4% year-on-year; in February it was 1.55 million TEU, an increase of 2.6% year-on-year; in March it was 1.62 million TEU, an increase of 17.8 year-on-year %, it was 1.74 million TEU in April, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%.
As U.S. consumption continues to recover and retail sales have rebounded strongly, the federation predicts that November and December holiday sales will increase by 3.6%-5.2%, exceeding the total in 2019, with sales between 755.3 billion and 766.7 billion US dollars.
